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Published:
April 26, 2006
Wind
farm boss hits back in row over power generation claims
![How the wind turbines would look on the outskirts of Burnham-On-Sea [Photomontage: KNOll To Wind Farm]](wind-farm-2.jpg)
The man behind plans to build a controversial wind farm between
Burnham-On-Sea and Brent Knoll has this week hit back at protestors
in a heated row over power generation calculations.
Speaking
to Burnham-On-Sea.com, Dale Vince, Managing Director of Ecotricity,
disputed claims made by the KNOll to Wind Farm group that the
turbines (shown above in a photomontage) would produce less electricity
than his company had predicted.
It
comes after the protestors publicly questioned on their
Web site the claims made by Ecotricity that the five turbines
would generate enough electricity to meet the needs of more than
8,000 local houses.
In
his first detailed interview covering the power generation calculations,
Mr Vince, pictured, told Burnham-On-Sea.com: "Knoll primarily
use Load Factor to challenge the figures for annual yield that
Ecotricity have calculated. Load Factor is a broad brush statistic,
it is a not the way to calculate the annual yield of any specific
site. It can be useful for comparing regions, countries even wind
farms - but it has no use whatsoever in the calculation of yield,
assuming you wish to have any degree of accuracy at all."
"The load factor figures that Knoll use nonetheless require
further comment. They have chosen a very short period of time
- just two years, while the UK has 15 years wind experience to
draw upon. The DTI recently published load factor figures from
the UK, we believe that this is the source used by Knoll, but
they have incorrectly quoted the load factor figure - not the
first time that they have misquoted the DTI. The DTI report clearly
states that the UK aggregate load factor is 28%. Knoll claim that
24% or 26% are the right figures (years 03 and 04 only) and for
that reason our 28% is a reason to question our figures. The facts
are that 28% is the UK long term figure and Knoll are incorrect
to claim any other and incorrect to use that as a basis to challenge
our own figures."
"It
also needs to understood that the DTI figure is an average of
the good and less good sites (which can vary greatly) and also
an average of old and new technology. There's no scientific rationale
in expecting the load factor from a good site using the latest
and best technology, to be not more than the long term UK average
of all sites and all machines. Performance of wind turbines has
grown significantly in the last few years alone. Some of our own
projects achieve in excess of 30% load factor."
"The whole approach of using load factors from the UK to
judge the likely output from Brent Knoll is fundamentally flawed
and unscientific, even if Knoll had used the correct UK figure."
"The Knoll group claim to have provided details of their
calculation, but actually all they provide is the statement to
the effect that they have 'taken data from a nearby met station
and used it in conjunction with the turbines power curve'. The
problems with this approach are - Met stations do not have wind
data at the hub height of wind turbines, therefore you need to
calculate the wind shear to arrive at a wind speed at the hub
height wind speed. Knoll appear to have either overlooked the
need to calculate shear, or they have overlooked the need to provide
the information on how they calculated it and what value they
came up with. This is an item of significant impact on energy
yield calculations. Knoll claim to have had experts review their
figures, one has to wonder what field these experts work in, it
would seem not to be wind energy as they would have seen these
fundamental flaws themselves."
"Secondly,
Knoll do not say what period the data from the Met is for, without
that knowledge it is hard to verify further that they have done
their sums correctly."
"Knoll make further fundamental errors when it comes to the
number of houses Brent Knoll will power, following their own 'calculations'
which claim a lower figure for output they go on to then challenge
how many houses can be powered in any event - on some different
grounds."
"Firstly they claim that we have used the wrong figure for
typical annual average household consumption of electricity. They
cite two other examples, one from a group in Bristol the other
from the BWEA. The figure we use is the one used by the electricity
industry regulator OFGEM and its consumer champion arm EnergyWatch.
This same figure has been endorsed by the ASA, which the Knoll
group would have known as they have read the adjudication concerned,
but they have failed to mention this."
"The
bigger error however, on this issue, is to believe (or to say
at least) that the issue here is the instantaneous power requirements
of a house that count. The figures we have provided are for the
supply of average houses per year over the whole year. We believe
it is clear and that it is a relevant, to describe the annual
output of wind parks in terms of the equivalent number of homes
it could power each year. The average person is not familiar with
the units of energy generation - MWh or GWh - to have relevance
to the public we need to express it in relevant terms - numbers
of houses equivalent is right for that."
"Knoll
'calculations' are simplistic and unscientific, they are bound
to lead to significantly different numbers than a professional
approach would produce."
"Their experts, who reviewed the work, cannot be experts
in wind energy (and they remain unnamed so we cannot verify their
qualifications) as they would not have made such large and fundamental
errors."
"Some special interest group from America cannot know more
about UK load factors than the DTI does."
"The basis for our calculations is set out in our planning
application and ES, both of which are in the public domain already."
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